An adaptive identification method of abnormal data in wind and solar
Accurate and credible operation data sets of wind and solar power stations are the basis of many research works. However, such data sets often contain abnormal data due to
We consider anomalies in terms of power production and do not simulate electricity demand or transmission. However, over- and underproduction would theoretically correspond to an over- or undersupply, if all else was equal. We assess anomalies in PV and wind power production associated with different weather patterns.
For instance, the lowest hourly PV plus wind power productions are simulated during weather patterns with very regionally low wind speeds for the present-day installation while weather patterns for dark doldrums coincide with the lowest wind plus PV production for the 2050 installation, consistent with the higher share of PV power in 2050.
Our findings suggest that weather patterns can serve as indicators for expected photovoltaic and wind power production anomalies and may be useful for early warnings in the energy sector. European countries are collectively facing pressing challenges in securing electricity supply with an increasing share of renewable energy.
A few studies have addressed how synoptic weather conditions influence resources for wind and solar power production, but for past power installations or for a certain region only or limited to 1-day anomalies 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10.
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